Key Takeaways
Miner balance at 60% and trendline support keeps Bitcoin’s bullish structure intact. Meanwhile, falling NVT Ratio and rising Open Interest signal healthier activity and higher volatility.
Bitcoin’s [BTC] Miner Demand–Supply Balance has slipped 6% from its all-time high, moderating to 60%. This means demand still outweighs issuance, though the margin is narrowing.
At press time, Bitcoin traded at $112,306, reflecting modest resilience despite weakening network demand. A 60% balance indicates sufficient activity to absorb selling pressure, yet the drop suggests caution.
However, demand is not collapsing, which leaves Bitcoin in a neutral-bullish zone. The market therefore remains steady, but investors may need confirmation from other indicators to gauge sustainability.
Bitcoin price holds strength above its trendline
Bitcoin’s price continues to respect its ascending trendline, providing crucial support for the ongoing bullish structure. The bounce near $107,000 confirmed this level as a strong defense zone.
Currently, the price has reclaimed $112,000 and sits within its Bollinger Bands, suggesting a healthy recovery. Resistance levels stand at $117,000, followed by $122,000 and $124,000, creating near-term hurdles.
However, a break below $107,000 could expose the price to $104,000 and trigger stronger selling. Thus, the trendline remains critical for sustaining upward momentum.
Source: TradingView
NVT ratio reflects healthier on-chain strength
The Network Value to Transaction (NVT) Ratio has dropped 12.26% to 26.90, reflecting healthier transaction activity relative to market capitalization.
This decline implies improved on-chain utility, signaling that value transferred across the Bitcoin network is expanding compared to valuation.
Consequently, this reduces the likelihood of overvaluation risks and builds stronger fundamental support for the market.
Therefore, despite miner demand softening, the NVT trend helps balance sentiment. In fact, it enhances the case for a more constructive outlook if network activity keeps rising.
Open Interest expansion fuels market positioning
Open Interest has climbed to $42.15 billion, rising 2.66% and highlighting renewed appetite across derivatives markets.
This expansion suggests both long and short positions are building, often a precursor to higher volatility.
Moreover, elevated positioning can amplify moves if price breaks through key support or resistance. Therefore, the Futures market is becoming an increasingly important driver of price direction.
While this signals confidence from participants, it also increases risk of liquidation cascades if sentiment shifts suddenly. Hence, stability relies on maintaining current support levels.
Can Bitcoin remain cautiously bullish?
Bitcoin’s outlook remains cautiously bullish as miner balance holds, the trendline stays intact, the NVT ratio signals healthier activity, and Open Interest climbs.
Together, these factors suggest resilience, though risks remain if demand weakens further or trendline support breaks.
