Key Takeaways
Whale-backed $6.3 million longs and $1.19 million outflows signal tightening supply for PUMP. Funding, netflows and liquidation clusters could steer PUMP’s next breakout.
Since early September, whale activity in Pump.fun [PUMP] has intensified, with one entity creating three wallets to open leveraged long positions worth $6.3 million.
At press time, PUMP traded at $0.0046, reflecting heightened market interest.
These whale positions, totaling over 1.31 billion tokens, are showing strong confidence in near-term upside. However, the use of 5x leverage also amplifies risk, and that means a sharp downturn could accelerate liquidations.
That set up a critical moment shaped by whale conviction and derivatives exposure.
Can PUMP’s double bottom spark a breakout rally?
In the daily chart shown below, we can observe a strong double bottom formation near $0.0025, suggesting a reversal after weeks of decline.
PUMP has since surged toward the key resistance zone at $0.005, testing the patience of both bulls and bears.
Parabolic SAR dots remained below the candles, reinforcing the bullish trend continuation. Furthermore, the DMI showed the +DI line holding above –DI, supporting buying pressure.
Even after this, until the resistance is cleared, upside remained limited. A confirmed breakout above $0.005 could accelerate gains toward $0.007, validating the bullish structure.
Source: TradingView
Is supply tightening?
Exchange Netflows showed a $1.19 million outflow at press time, pointing to accumulation trends despite volatility.
Since late July, netflows have consistently shown more red than green bars — A clear sign that traders are pulling tokens off exchanges.
Therefore, these conditions can create a supply squeeze that supports bullish momentum if demand continues rising.
But a point to also note here is that any shift to inflows could quickly undermine recovery, meaning investors should closely monitor liquidity signals.
Trader conviction in sustained upside
At press time, Funding Rate data reflected growing bullish conviction among leveraged traders. Also, Weighted Open Interest reached 0.042% as PUMP’s price tested $0.0049.
This optimism confirmed the broader whale narrative but also introduced potential risks.
Elevated Funding Rates make long positions more expensive to maintain, often leading to rapid corrections when sentiment shifts.
That’s why, while positive funding reflects optimism, it also signals a fragile balance.
What do liquidation clusters?
Binance’s Liquidation Map highlighted dense clusters between $0.0046 and $0.0052, zones where volatility could spike.
A breakout above $0.005 would likely trigger cascading liquidations, pushing PUMP into the $0.0053 to $0.0054 range.
On the downside, a rejection could send prices back toward $0.0042, where heavy long liquidations concentrate.
That left traders cautious, with leverage stacked on both sides. Aggressive moves may follow as clusters unwind.
To sum up, whales, leveraged longs, tightening supply and bullish funding combine to set PUMP at a crucial juncture. Breaking $0.005 could spark a double bottom rally, but liquidation risks kept volatility high.
