- Peter Brandt suggested that Bitcoin could drop to $78K if critical levels are breached.
- Bitcoin’s trajectory hinges on the $93K neckline and $95K support.
Veteran trader Peter Brandt has raised alarm bells over Bitcoin’s [BTC] price action, suggesting that a head and shoulders top pattern could send it crashing to as low as $78,000.
Brandt acknowledged the uncertainty of the pattern, noting that it might either fail, continue with a higher thrust, or evolve into something different altogether.
However, he emphasized that, as it stands, the chart signals a potential downturn that traders should carefully watch and consider in their market strategies.
Brandt’s $78K projection: Analyzing the potential dip
In the latest X post, the trader shared his analysis, which centers on a possible head and shoulders top pattern forming in Bitcoin’s price chart, as indicated by the red highlighted zone.
The pattern, often a bearish reversal signal, suggested that BTC could drop to $78,000 if the neckline, marked by the horizontal black line, is breached.
Brandt acknowledged that this target was contingent on price action confirming the breakdown below the support level.
Meanwhile, the Average True Range (ATR) signaled heightened volatility, while the downtrend in the ADX suggested waning bullish momentum.
Thus, moving forward, the $93,000-$95,000 remains vital. A failure to hold this support may validate Brandt’s bearish outlook.
The case for a bullish sentiment
While bearish signals dominate, bulls could argue that Bitcoin’s trajectory remains intact above the $93K-$95K support.
A decisive move above the $95K region would invalidate the head-and-shoulders pattern, suggesting a potential rally toward $98K and beyond.
The 8-day moving average acted as immediate resistance, and overcoming it may fuel renewed bullish momentum. Yet, bullish sentiment could falter if volume remains low.
In addition, the waning ADX showed weak trend strength, complicating the case for a sustained upward thrust.
For bulls, reclaiming $95K with robust trading activity is imperative. Otherwise, the pattern may assert itself, paving the way for the projected $78K dip.
Potential scenarios
Given the complexity of current market dynamics, Bitcoin’s trajectory hinges on pivotal levels and trader sentiment.
If the neckline at $93,000 is decisively breached, the head-and-shoulders formation could play out, targeting $78,000.
This would align with the historical tendencies of BTC correcting sharply after prolonged uptrends. Nonetheless, the $95,000 region is critical.
Sustained price action above this level may invalidate the bearish scenario, particularly if volume supports a breakout toward $98,000.
Traders should also note the weakening ADX. This could indicate consolidation rather than an outright reversal.
Heightened ATR values suggest that volatility could amplify either scenario, throwing the spotlight on the importance of dynamic risk management.
