- Ripple whale transfer sparked panic, but exchange reserves and sentiment show limited sell pressure.
- MVRV Ratio hovered near 195%, increasing the likelihood of profit-taking if confidence dips further.
Ripple [XRP] sparked market-wide concern on the 18th of June after transferring $438 million worth of XRP to an unknown wallet.
The move raised fears of a potential large-scale sell-off.
Despite the panic, XRP remained stable around $2.16, continuing to consolidate within a symmetrical triangle pattern—a setup often associated with upcoming volatility.
While retail sentiment leaned anxious, broader crowd dynamics and whale behavior indicated a more measured, strategic environment rather than outright chaos.
Could profit-taking derail the rally as MVRV stays elevated?
The MVRV Ratio for XRP remained relatively high, hovering near the 195% mark. This metric shows that many holders are sitting on substantial unrealized profits.
Historically, elevated MVRV levels tend to precede selling pressure as investors look to lock in gains. Therefore, despite the current bullish sentiment, the risk of a correction remains on the table.
If the market begins to turn or confidence wanes further following Ripple’s large transfer, even minor profit-taking could snowball into broader selling momentum.
Source: Santiment
Wait! Exchange Reserves may contradict dump fears
Despite initial fears of a Ripple sell-off, on-chain indicators tell a different story.
XRP’s exchange reserves have dropped by 3.31%, suggesting that fewer tokens are sitting on centralized platforms.
This typically points to reduced selling pressure or a sign of accumulation.
When viewed alongside the recent large whale transfer, the decline in reserves likely reflects internal reallocation rather than an impending market dump.
As such, bearish assumptions tied to the transfer may be premature—especially without corroborating signs like rising exchange reserves or price deterioration.
Source: CryptoQuant
What does a 770% DEX volume surge say about investor behavior?
XRP’s DEX volume exploded by over 770% in the past 24 hours, showing that traders are increasingly active on decentralized platforms.
This behavior reflects a shift in user preferences toward non-custodial trading, possibly to gain exposure with reduced exchange risk.
Moreover, the timing of this spike during a period of market uncertainty suggests that some investors are positioning for volatility, either expecting a breakout or hedging against downside risks.
Regardless, the surge shows significant capital movement into XRP markets.
Source: CryptoQuant
Is XRP’s weakening network growth a warning signal?
While technicals and sentiment remain optimistic, XRP’s Network Growth sharply declined, reaching a low of just 807 new addresses.
This metric gauges organic interest—new users entering the network. If this trend persists, it could undercut any sustainable rally from the base layer up.
Source: Santiment
Will XRP break out of its triangle or fall below key support?
At press time, XRP was consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, with support at $2.08 and resistance at $2.35.
A breakout above this range could pave the way for a move toward $2.61, signaling bullish continuation.
On the flip side, a breakdown below support may validate concerns of a broader correction—particularly in light of the recent large Ripple transfer.
As a result, the upcoming price action will be pivotal in determining XRP’s short-term trajectory.
Source: TradingView
Ultimately, Ripple’s massive XRP transfer move stirred nerves, but on-chain data didn’t scream “dump.”
Exchange Reserves are declining, sentiment remains bullish, and DEX activity is rising. However, the elevated MVRV ratio and stagnating Network Growth introduce caution.
While technicals point toward an imminent breakout, XRP’s next move will depend on whether buyers can sustain momentum despite weakening fundamentals beneath the surface.
