- Bitcoin’s accumulation trend score rises above 0.1, signaling a potential shift toward renewed buying interest.
- A convincing reversal still requires sustained demand.
Bitcoin’s [BTC] accumulation trend score has ticked above 0.1 for the first time since the 11th of March – a modest but noteworthy shift in an otherwise bearish landscape.
While distribution remains firmly in control, this uptick hints at a flicker of buying interest that could signal the early stages of renewed demand.
The key question now is whether this marks the beginning of a market reversal, or merely a temporary pause in the prevailing downtrend.
Accumulation activity reawakens after prolonged lull
Following a heavy wave of accumulation during the late Q4 rally — reflected in deep purple nodes on the chart — sentiment turned decisively risk-off as Bitcoin entered a distribution-dominant phase in early 2025.
This transition is evident in the increasing frequency of yellow and orange markers, indicating widespread selling or hesitation to buy.
Source: Glassnode
However, March 2025 reveals a subtle but notable shift: accumulation scores are beginning to climb, with colors transitioning back toward purple.
While still modest, this change suggests renewed interest from longer-term holders or entities gradually rebuilding positions.
It may represent early positioning ahead of a potential trend reversal — or simply a short-lived deviation in an ongoing bearish cycle.
Market sentiment and potential reversal
Bitcoin’s ongoing downtrend has been defined by extended distribution, with the ATS remaining below 0.5 – indicating dominant selling pressure.
The recent climb above 0.1, though minor, signals the reemergence of accumulation — a pattern often seen during the early stages of recovery after major corrections.
Historically, such transitions have followed bear market bottoms, where accumulation slowly builds as confidence returns.
Currently, strategic moves by institutional players and expectations of regulatory clarity could be driving this subtle shift.
However, for the trend to hold, accumulation must be sustained by continued institutional demand and supportive policy signals. Any abrupt regulatory setbacks or sharp volatility spikes could disrupt this nascent recovery.
Bitcoin: Weak momentum, limited buy pressure
Bitcoin was at $83,165 at press time, down over 1% in the past 24 hours. The hourly chart revealed a struggle to reclaim upward momentum, with a pattern of lower highs persisting despite brief rebounds.
The RSI sat at 46, reflecting weak bullish pressure and no clear signs of the asset being oversold.
Source: TradingView
Meanwhile, the OBV remained firmly negative at -311.93K, highlighting a lack of sustained buying activity. Taken together, these indicators pointed to cautious sentiment in the short term.
For a convincing reversal to take shape, BTC would need to break above $84,000, accompanied by rising volume and an RSI push beyond the neutral 50 mark.
