- It appeared that the Bitcoin bull run was not yet at an end.
- The 1000-day RSI could be an effective tool for traders and investors.
Bitcoin [BTC] has recovered from the 4% drop it experienced on the 5th of June.
This drop occurred after an online spat on that day between U.S. President Donald Trump and businessman Elon Musk, who had left his role at D.O.G.E. (Department of Government Efficiency) a week before this incident.
The social media bickering saw Tesla’s [TSLA] shares plummet 11.7% on the same day. Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto space also fell by 5%, but were quick to recover over the weekend.
The eagerness of BTC to fall during tumult elsewhere caused some participants to worry if the lion’s share of the bull run was over.
The Bitcoin bulls’ best is yet to come?
In a post on X, analytics platform Alphractal observed that the 1000-day RSI had broken out from the descending trendline.
Moreover, like it did during the previous cycles’ bull runs, the ascending trendline formed from the depths of the bear market was retested as support.
This retest came in April, when Bitcoin was forced to fall as far south as $74.5k. Due to Bitcoin’s positive reaction, Alphractal concluded that it was too early to call a bear market.
A breakdown below the RSI 1000 could offer a selling opportunity. Meanwhile, the bull market still has steam to go further.
The MVRV pricing bands use a multiple of the MVRV ratio to understand when the market has reached extreme levels.
Bitcoin spent a good chunk of the first half of 2021 near the 3.2 times multiple of the realized price.
In this cycle, the 3.2 line has not been breached yet. While it indicated the best of the bull run was yet to come, investors should remember that not every cycle must be alike.
Source: BTC/USD on TradingView
AMBCrypto found an interesting parallel from 2021. The 400-day moving average (green) was retested as support during the bull run back then. This retest sparked a rapid rally to new highs.
Similarly, in April 2025, BTC again retested the 400 DMA, rallying explosively from the dynamic support and making a new high.
If the current cycle mirrors the previous one, we could be near a top, but once again, no two cycles are alike. The 1000 RSI could be one to watch, and can help mark the end of the bull run.
