Key Takeaways
Ethereum’s rally towards $4,800 is being fueled by institutional accumulation, but elevated leverage ratios might hint at potential volatility ahead.
Ethereum [ETH] has traded within a multi-month ascending channel on the charts since bottoming near $1,300 four months ago.
In the intervening period, the altcoin climbed to $4,300, with ETH now edging closer to its $4,800 ATH from four years ago. At press time, ETH was trading at $4,275 after weekly gains of 21%.
Institutions continue to accumulate Ethereum
Sustained institutional demand remains a major driver of Ethereum’s rally.
A consistently positive Coinbase Premium Index, negative for only seven days in the last three months, hinted at strong U.S. buying. The scale of such purchases is a sign that institutions may be involved.
Source: CryptoQuant
Lending weight to this, Lookonchain reported that a single unidentified institution purchased 49,533 ETH worth $212 million in just one day. In fact, over the past week, the same buyer accumulated 221,166 ETH valued at $946.6 million.
Historically, such heavy inflows have preceded price expansions as buying pressure builds on the charts.
Elevated leverage flashes caution
Now, while Ethereum may be facing significant demand, its markets have been flashing signs of short-term caution.
In fact, according to CryptoQuant’s analyst CryptoOnchain, the all-exchange Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) had a reading of 0.68 – Close to its historic highs.
For context, when the ELR is as high as 0.68, it means that on average, Open Interest in perpetual and futures contracts is 68% of the spot reserves.
Source: CryptoQuant
Binance’s ELR seemed to be lower at 0.52 – A sign that other exchanges carried greater leverage.
Here, it’s worth noting that while 0.68 does not mean maximum leverage, it is high enough to accelerate moves in either direction.
Buyers hold the advantage… For now
According to AMBCrypto’s analysis, Ethereum saw strong demand across all market participants. Especially institutions.
Accordingly, the altcoin’s Taker Buyer Sell Ratio surged to 1.005 – Hitting the positive zone after previously dipping into negative territory.
Source: CryptoQuant
This ratio, which compares aggressive buying to selling, indicated that buyers, especially institutions, currently have control of the market.
If accumulation continues, ETH could target $4,501 and then $4,788. Conversely, a leverage-driven long squeeze could push the price below $3,980 – A key reversal zone identified by AMBCrypto’s analysis.
