- Stablecoin dominance has historically fueled major BTC rallies, as liquidity re-enters risk assets.
- Will Bitcoin capitalize on this liquidity shift, or is caution still warranted?
Stablecoin dominance is climbing, signaling a risk-off shift as investors park funds on the sidelines, awaiting market clarity.
Historically, an influx of stablecoin liquidity has fueled major Bitcoin [BTC] rallies. If sidelined capital rotates back into BTC, a breakout past $100K could be imminent.
On the flip side, if stablecoin dominance continues to rise without inflows into risk assets, it could indicate weaker risk appetite, raising the chances of another market correction.
At press time, Tether [USDT] dominance has risen 3.54%, following a 9.77% dip which coincided with BTC’s 9.44% single-day surge to reclaim $96K – reinforcing their inverse correlation.
Source: TradingView (USDT.D)
Notably, during BTC’s late-February drop to a three-month low of $78K, USDT dominance spiked to a yearly high of 5.57%.
If this trend repeats, it could signal increasing risk aversion among investors, reducing the likelihood of a full-fledged “greed” phase where capital aggressively flows into risk assets.
Stablecoins or Bitcoin: Where are investors hedging?
Bitcoin has retraced 3.16% from its 9% surge after Trump’s Bitcoin Strategic Asset proposal, while USDC dominance has climbed 5.03%, signaling a shift toward stablecoins.
Meanwhile, USDT (ETH) exchange reserves, which surged by 250 million on the pro-crypto news, are now dipping slightly.
Source: CryptoQuant
With stablecoin dominance still in the green, a broader shift could be underway – one to watch closely in the coming days.
The market sits in a neutral phase, with capital inflows from both institutions and retail. However, BTC sustaining $90K remains uncertain unless the liquidity surge from rising stablecoin dominance is fully absorbed.
The recent BTC drop to $78K still casts a shadow, keeping risk sentiment fragile from both psychological and economic standpoints.
This uncertainty could tilt the balance in favor of stablecoins as a preferred hedge to Bitcoin. In response, it could limit BTC’s momentum for an “uninterrupted” push to $100K.
